Market Structure, Not Fed Policy, Fuels Bitcoin’s Historic Surge Above $118,000

Market Structure, Not Fed Policy, Fuels Bitcoin’s Historic Surge Above $118,000

2025-07-12
0 Comments Zoya Akhtar

4 Minutes

Bitcoin’s Meteoric Rise Driven by Spot ETF Demand and Corporate Adoption

Bitcoin has soared past a new all-time high, shattering its previous record by reaching $118,872 on July 11 before settling near $117,300. This remarkable 3% daily increase signals more than just investor enthusiasm—it points to a profound shift in the underlying market dynamics driving the world’s leading cryptocurrency. Unlike previous spikes often tied to U.S. Federal Reserve moves or stock market performance, analysts now attribute Bitcoin’s momentum to unprecedented demand for spot Bitcoin ETFs and robust corporate treasury strategies.

Altcoins Surge as Bitcoin Leads the Crypto Market Rally

As Bitcoin reached uncharted territory, the broader crypto market experienced a powerful upswing. Ethereum (ETH) outpaced Bitcoin with a swift 7% rally—breaking above $3,000 for the first time since February. Popular memecoins like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) also saw double-digit gains, highlighting a widespread risk-on appetite and renewed enthusiasm from retail investors.

Kraken’s chief economist, Thomas Perfumo, highlighted the magnitude of Bitcoin’s breakout, describing it as a decisive move out of a prolonged consolidation phase. "In just 24 hours, over $1 billion in short positions were wiped out," Perfumo noted. He also observed a rare dip in Bitcoin dominance to around 54%, indicating that alternative cryptocurrencies are decisively participating in this rally alongside BTC.

Perfumo further emphasized that strong performances in U.S. equities at or near all-time highs have created a favorable risk-on environment, offering a supportive backdrop for the push in crypto markets.

Spot ETFs and Institutional Inflows Reshape the Cryptocurrency Landscape

Analysts agree that the ongoing rally is set apart by its unique market structure. Instead of being sparked by macroeconomic or Federal Reserve decisions, the acceleration is being fueled by massive inflows into spot ETFs—a key on-chain catalyst that represents real, unleveraged demand for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

According to data from SoSoValue, Bitcoin ETFs saw their largest one-day inflow of 2025 on Thursday, attracting $1.18 billion. Meanwhile, Ethereum ETFs booked their second-biggest day of the year, with $383 million moving into the funds. Unlike futures or derivatives, these ETF purchases reflect institutional and retail investors making direct, capital-intensive commitments to digital assets.

Nicolai Sondergaard, a research analyst at Nansen, underscored the importance of these trends: "This Bitcoin breakout is not primarily driven by wider macroeconomic factors, but by unique crypto market events. Still, recent signs of U.S. fiscal expansion and anticipated monetary easing do create a favorable environment for Bitcoin. We are seeing a growing number of companies adopt Bitcoin as a treasury asset, which underlines rising institutional confidence in BTC’s utility."

Sondergaard added that Bitcoin’s clean break above key liquidation thresholds played a crucial role, signaling new trigger points for market-wide rallies and boosting optimism throughout the sector.

A New Chapter for Crypto: Are We Witnessing a Market Paradigm Shift?

The current question for traders and investors is whether this rally’s foundation—rooted in internal crypto market mechanics like ETF flows, corporate adoption, and derivative market activity—can sustain higher prices independently from traditional macroeconomic trends.

If this dynamic persists, it could mark the beginning of a new era where cryptocurrency market structure, not central bank policy or global economic volatility, takes the lead in setting prices and shaping the future of blockchain assets. As Bitcoin and altcoins continue to make headlines, investors and industry experts are watching closely to see if this evolving trend signals a fundamental transformation in the crypto market's behavior.

"I’m Zoya, and crypto is my playground. I dive deep into blockchain trends, DeFi, and how digital assets shape our future economy."

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