4 Minutes
XRP price prediction: Can Ripple find stability after the Fed?
As markets digest the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision, XRP has come under renewed pressure. Despite the Fed holding rates steady — a widely expected move — Ripple’s XRP has failed to stage a meaningful rebound. Traders and analysts are now focused on short-term technical levels and macroeconomic signals to gauge whether the token can stabilize or if further downside is likely.
Current market scenario and macro backdrop
XRP is trading around $1.86 after slipping roughly 3.3% in the last 24 hours and just over 4% for the week. The decline followed the Federal Reserve’s choice to keep the federal funds rate in the 3.5%–3.75% range. Because this outcome had been largely priced in, the announcement didn’t trigger a big market move and instead reinforced a period of consolidation across crypto markets.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated officials see economic activity growing at a solid pace and signs of stabilizing unemployment. Those comments, while cautious, provided little immediate uplift for risk assets such as cryptocurrencies, leaving XRP’s short-term outlook driven more by technical factors and investor sentiment than by surprise policy shifts.
XRP 1-day chart, January 2026
Technical outlook: Key levels to watch
Immediate support: $1.86–$1.87
From a technical perspective, the most important support cluster sits at $1.86–$1.87. Buyers have historically stepped in around this zone, as evidenced by repeated lower wicks on intraday candles. If XRP can hold this level, the path to an initial recovery toward the $1.90–$1.95 resistance band becomes plausible. A convincing push above $1.90 could attract renewed buying interest and higher trading volumes, which XRP needs to break out of the current range.
Downside risk: $1.80 and below
On the downside, a decisive break under $1.86 would likely shift momentum toward $1.80, a previously tested base during consolidation. Increased selling pressure could accelerate the move to this level as traders recalibrate risk amid broader economic uncertainty. Continued range-bound action or a slide toward $1.80 would be consistent with a macro environment in which the Fed emphasizes patience and data-driven decisions rather than aggressive easing — conditions that typically weigh on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Short-term XRP price prediction
Near term, the XRP forecast is neutral-to-cautious. Maintaining the $1.86 support keeps the possibility of a bounce to $1.90–$1.95 alive. However, without a stronger risk-on tone across markets or a clear catalyst such as positive on-chain developments, regulatory clarity, or higher macro risk appetite, upside attempts may struggle to gain traction.
Traders should monitor volume trends closely: any breakout attempt without accompanying volume may be short-lived. Conversely, a surge in trading activity coupled with bullish order flow could accelerate a recovery. Keep an eye on broader crypto leaders like Bitcoin and Ethereum, since momentum in those markets often spills over into altcoins including XRP.
What traders should watch next
Key items to watch in the coming days include: confirmation of support at $1.86, a breakout above $1.90 with increased volume, macroeconomic data releases that could alter Fed expectations, and news from Ripple related to regulatory developments or partnerships. Until a clear catalyst emerges, XRP is likely to remain range-bound between $1.80 and $1.95.
Overall, Ripple’s XRP faces a testing period: defending immediate support is critical to preserving upside potential, while a break below would raise the odds of deeper retracement. For investors and traders, disciplined risk management and attention to technical signals and macro developments will be essential.
Source: crypto
Leave a Comment